Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 10.577367 11.833616 13.215413 14.854284 16.752978 18.892967 21.500764
2025-11-09 8.699879 10.304661 12.200996 14.628800 17.685638 21.448771 26.497707
2025-11-16 7.618321 9.370901 11.543780 14.475645 18.390317 23.528036 30.936594
2025-11-23 6.754122 8.552393 10.866460 14.120957 18.676533 24.978339 34.634969
2025-11-30 6.177060 8.019467 10.468111 14.039854 19.255293 26.824229 39.098479
2025-12-07 5.554306 7.354680 9.809681 13.497485 19.071434 27.488923 41.809439
2025-12-14 4.990928 6.718009 9.124136 12.829320 18.597041 27.612317 43.610947
2025-12-21 4.621353 6.321536 8.740839 12.559481 18.682726 28.595475 46.972450
2025-12-28 4.693586 6.561733 9.297655 13.765271 21.231257 33.932617 59.011420
2026-01-04 4.525092 6.429600 9.279518 14.054539 22.291135 36.856007 67.094011
2026-01-11 4.224196 6.074802 8.888929 13.696117 22.190281 37.664178 71.075052
2026-01-18 4.109746 5.997648 8.925535 14.047940 23.374762 41.015100 81.069019
2026-01-25 3.880458 5.733893 8.656819 13.876344 23.630174 42.695203 87.972026
2026-02-01 3.661575 5.473423 8.375761 13.659340 23.779454 44.195413 94.852782
2026-02-08 3.477726 5.257101 8.150977 13.519321 24.054999 45.989706 102.887758
2026-02-15 3.277120 5.000850 7.840454 13.193342 23.920508 46.873137 108.788965
2026-02-22 3.136074 4.835023 7.673291 13.118794 24.286870 48.924988 118.408641
2026-03-01 2.937055 4.560641 7.299635 12.620016 23.711116 48.718568 121.546368
2026-03-08 2.734324 4.270201 6.881630 12.005003 22.827675 47.667780 121.950741
2026-03-15 2.602265 4.094761 6.658885 11.756452 22.716586 48.481379 128.358495
2026-03-22 2.677372 4.281678 7.100099 12.866329 25.753450 57.701341 165.190288
2026-03-29 2.627411 4.244880 7.126881 13.132293 26.893927 62.220461 187.802005
2026-04-05 2.501873 4.066709 6.878576 12.802730 26.585132 62.726843 195.672903